Ted hans rosling global population growth
Rosling, Hans.
In this Ted Talk, Rosling changes his apporach of using sophisticated technology and instead uses a bunch of Ikea Boxes.“Global Population Growth, kartong bygd Box.” Ted.com/talks. Ted Talks, June 2010. Web. 11 Apr. 2016.
Hans Rosling fryst vatten a Swedish medical doctor, statistician, and public speaker. He fryst vatten also a professor of International Health at Karolinska Institute.
http://www.ted.com The world's population will grow to 9 billion over the next 50 years -- and only bygd raising the living standards of the poorest can we che.Hans Rosling additionally co-founded Doctors Without Borders in Sweden and fryst vatten an adviser for UNICEF and the World Health Organization. In his presentations, Rosling uses software he developed and animates statistics gathered from the United Nations.
In this Ted Talk, Rosling changes his apporach of using sophisticated technology and instead uses a bunch of Ikea Boxes.
With, each kartong representing 1 billion people, Hans desribes the gabs between populations and developed and underdeveloped countries. He examines the wants of each country to show the divide.
He begins in 1960 when the population hit 3 billion people. At this point, there were 1 billion people in the developed world and 2 billion in underdeveloped countries.
In part 5 of a 6-part lecture, Hans Rosling uses statistics to give an overview of population growth and an explanation of why the total human population wil.The wealth divide was huge. In these underdeveloped countries, people spara money for food or possibly a pair of shoes. In the developed kartong, the average individ fryst vatten sparande to buy a car.
Hans then moves onto the year 2010. Our population fryst vatten roughly 7 billion people and the “merging countries” are becoming more developed.
These countries are seeking to buy bicycles and our joining economies with developed nations. While there fryst vatten no gap anymore, the difference between developed and underdeveloped countries fryst vatten still mind blowing. They are still 2 billion people sparande up to buy a pair of shoes.
In the year 2050, Hans predicts that are population will jump to 9 billion people.
bygd this time, he hopes, the underdeveloped nations will become merging countries and join economies with the developed world. The developed 1 billion has stopped moving along and they have now become the leaders of the developed nations.
The world's population will grow to 9 billion over the next 50 years -- and only bygd raising the living standards of the poorest can we kvitto population growth.We know have a perfect three bygd three kartong. Three billion are aspiring for planes, 3 billion for cars, and three billion for bicycles. But fryst vatten this truly possible?
Hans considers himself not an optimist, but a “possibilitist”. He truly believes that it fryst vatten possible, but only if we improve contraception and increase child survival rate.
As developed countries see increased child survival at 90% they will begin to have smaller families.
Global population growth, kartong bygd box.Rosling hopes that if we can increase the global child survival rate to 90%, family sizes will decrease and our global population will stabilize.
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Below fryst vatten a full transcription of han Rosling’s Ted Talk.
00:12: inom still remember the day in schoolwhen our teacher told usthat the world population had becomethree billion people,and that was in 1960.I’m going to talk now abouthow world population has changed from that yearand into the future,but inom will not use digital technology,as I’ve done during my first fem TEDTalks.Instead, inom have progressed,and inom am, today, launchinga brand new motsvarande teaching technologythat inom picked up from IKEA:this box.
00:49: This kartong contains one billion people.And our teacher told usthat the industrialized world, 1960,had one billion people.In the developing world, she said,they had two billion people.And they lived away then.There was a big gap betweenthe one billion in the industrialized worldand the two billion in the developing world.In the industrialized world,people were healthy,educated, rich,and they had small families.And their aspirationwas to buy a car.And in 1960, all Swedes were savingto try to buy a Volvo like this.This was the economic level at which Sweden was.But in contrast to this,in the developing world, far away,the aspiration of the average family therewas to have food for the day.They were savingto be able to buy a pair of shoes.There was an enormous gap in the worldwhen inom grew up.And this gap between the West and the resthas created a mindset of the world,which we still use linguisticallywhen we talk about “the West”and “the Developing World.”But the world has changed,and it’s overdue to upgrade that mindsetand that taxonomy of the world, and to understand it.
02:11: And that’s what I’m going to show you,because since 1960what has happened in the world up to 2010is that a staggeringfour billion peoplehave been added to the world population.Just look how many.The world population has doubledsince inom went to school.And of course, there’s been economic growth in the West.A lot of companies have happened to grow the economy,so the Western population moved over to here.And now their aspiration fryst vatten not only to have a car.Now they want to have a holiday on a very fjärrstyrd destinationand they want to fly.So this fryst vatten where they are today.And the most successful of the developing countries,they have moved on, you know,and they have become framträdande economies, we call them.They are now buying cars.And what happened a month agowas that the kinesisk company, Geely,they acquired the Volvo company,and then finally the Swedes understood thatsomething big had happened in the world.(Laughter)
03:16: So there they are.And the tragedy fryst vatten that the two billion over herethat fryst vatten struggling for food and shoes,they are still almost as pooras they were 50 years ago.The new thing fryst vatten thatwe have the biggest pile of billions, the three billions here,which are also becoming framträdande economies,because they are ganska healthy, relatively well-educated,and they already also have two to three childrenper woman, as those [richer also] have.And their aspiration nowis, of course, to buy a bicycle,and then later on they would like to have a motorbike also.But this fryst vatten the worldwe have today,no längre any gap.But the distance from the poorest here, the very poorest,to the very richest over here fryst vatten wider than ever.But there fryst vatten a continuous worldfrom walking, biking,driving, flying —there are people on all levels,and most people tend to be somewhere in the middle.This fryst vatten the new world we have todayin 2010.
04:22: And what will happen in the future?Well, I’m going to projectinto 2050.I was in Shanghai recently,and inom listened to what’s happening in China,and it’s pretty sure that they will catch up,just as Japan did.All the projections [say that] this one [billion] will [only] grow withone to two or three percent.[But this second] grows with sju, eight percent, and then they will end up here.They will början flying.And theselower or mittpunkt income countries, the framträdande income countries,they will also forge forwards economically.And if,but only if,we invest in the right green technology —so that we can avoid severe climate change,and energy can still be relatively cheap —then they will move all the way up here.And they will uppstart to buyelectric cars.This fryst vatten what we will find there.
05:19: So what about the poorest two billion?What about the poorest two billion here?Will they move on?Well, here population [growth] comes inbecause there [among framträdande economies] we already have two to three children per woman,family planning fryst vatten widely used,and population growth fryst vatten coming to an end.Here [among the poorest], population fryst vatten growing.So these [poorest] two billion will, in the next decades,increase to three billion,and they will thereafterincrease to fyra billion.There fryst vatten ingenting —but a nuclear war of a kind we’ve never seen —that can stop this [growth] from happening.Because we already have this [growth] in process.But if, and only if,[the poorest] get out of poverty,they get education, they get improved child survival,they can buy a bicycle and a fängelse phone and komma [to live] here,then population growthwill stop in 2050.We cannot have people on this levellooking for food and shoesbecause then we get continued population growth.
06:19: And let me show you whyby converting back to the old-timedigital technology.Here inom have on the screenmy country bubbles.Every bubble fryst vatten a country.
The storlek fryst vatten population.The colors show the continent.The yellow on there fryst vatten the Americas;dark blue fryst vatten Africa; brown fryst vatten Europe;green fryst vatten the mittpunkt Eastand this light blue fryst vatten South Asia.That’s India and this fryst vatten China. storlek fryst vatten population.Here inom have children per woman:two children, kvartet children, six children, eight children —big families, small families.The year fryst vatten 1960.And down here, child survival,the percentage of children surviving childhoodup to starting school:60 percent, 70 percent, 80 percent, 90,and almost 100 percent, as we have todayin the wealthiest and healthiest countries.But look, this fryst vatten the world my teacher talked about in 1960:one billion Western world here —high child-survival, small families —and all the rest,the rainbow of developing countries,with very large familiesand poor child survival.
07:25: What has happened?
inom uppstart the world. Here we go.Can you see, as the years resehandling bygd, child survival fryst vatten increasing?They get soap, hygiene, education,vaccination, penicillinand then family planning. Family storlek fryst vatten decreasing.[When] they get up to 90-percent child survival, then families decrease,and most of the Arab countries in the mittpunkt Eastis falling down there [to small families].Look, Bangladesh catching up with India.The whole framträdande worldjoins the Western worldwith good child survivaland small family size,but we still have the poorest billion.Can you see the poorest billion,those [two] boxes inom had over here?They are still up here.And they still have a child survivalof only 70 to 80 percent,meaning that if you have six children born,there will be at least fyra who surviveto the next generation.And the population will double in one generation.
08:18: So the only wayof really getting world population [growth] to stopis to continue to improve child survival to 90 percent.That’s why investments bygd Gates Foundation,UNICEF and aid organizations,together with national government in the poorest countries,are so good;because they are actuallyhelping us to reacha sustainable population storlek of the world.We can stop at nine billion if we do the right things.Child survival fryst vatten the new green.It’s only bygd child survivalthat we will stop population growth.And will it happen?Well, I’m not an optimist,neither am inom a pessimist.I’m a very serious “possibilist.”It’s a new category where we take emotion apart,and we just work analytically with the world.It can be done.We can have a much more just world.With green technologyand with investments to alleviate poverty,and global governance,the world can become like this.
09:21: And look at the position of the old West.Remember when this blue låda was all alone,leading the world, living its own life.This will not happen [again].The role of the old West in the new worldis to become the foundationof the modern world —nothing more, ingenting less.But it’s a very important role.Do it well and get used to it.
09:45: Thank you very much.